Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-140/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 6.1 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Spencer Dinwiddie has played 30.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
The Brooklyn Nets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 43.6% rate, Spencer Dinwiddie's field goal proficiency has been reduced this year to 37.8%.
The Nets check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nets.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.

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