Spencer Dinwiddie Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 6.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit more than his 5.0 mark last year.
Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a good one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 5 games (21.2).
Spencer Dinwiddie has made 4.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Favors Under

Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should decrease plays for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).