Spencer Dinwiddie Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2023

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Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Brooklyn Nets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 16, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Spencer Dinwiddie has tallied a terrific 6.0 assists per game this year, a big improvement over his 6.0 assists per game last year.
When playing away from home, the Miami Heat have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Spencer Dinwiddie has played a lowly 27.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 34.3 minutes per game last year.
The 9th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Spencer Dinwiddie will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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