Spencer Dinwiddie Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

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Spencer Dinwiddie

NBA · Player Props

Spencer Dinwiddie

G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Spencer Dinwiddie Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Spencer Dinwiddie has posted 5.3 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the league in this category over this stretch of games: 90th percentile.
Spencer Dinwiddie has tallied 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Celtics have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which can also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Spencer Dinwiddie will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Spencer Dinwiddie has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

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