Simone Fontecchio Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has posted an impressive 1.1 offensive boards per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.7 offensive boards per game last year.
Simone Fontecchio has played 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 more than he's played in all games this year.
The 8th-speediest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.
The Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (retaining possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Simone Fontecchio will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases player production across the board.

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