Simone Fontecchio Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 3:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 15.1 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has been on the court for 14.5 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 16th percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league.
Simone Fontecchio has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.
The Utah Jazz are expected to see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Simone Fontecchio ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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