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Simone Fontecchio

Simone Fontecchio Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2025

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, branding this as a good matchup.
  • The speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Miami Heat.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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