Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 1:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has successfully made 2.7 treys per game over the last 9 games at home, 1.5 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year on his home court.
Simone Fontecchio has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (9th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Simone Fontecchio will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has successfully made a mere 30.5% of his shots from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 44.1 rate last season.
Out of all players in the league, Simone Fontecchio registers in the 25th percentile for playing time, tallying a mere 18.7 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Pistons's poor 107.1 points per game ranks 5th-worst in the league this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

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