Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 12.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 4.0 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Simone Fontecchio has converted 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 7.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).
As a team, the Pistons have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying 23.8 foul shot attempts per game.
Simone Fontecchio will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; when the Nets are the visiting squad, the other team has totaled the 8th-most treys per game in the league against them this year (13.9).
The 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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