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Simone Fontecchio

Simone Fontecchio Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Simone Fontecchio has made an impressive 39.7% of his three-point shots this season, a sizeable increase from his 30.7 mark last season.
  • The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team.
  • The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • With the home court advantage, the Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Simone Fontecchio has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% more than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have shot 37.9% on 3-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup.
  • The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.
  • Simone Fontecchio figures to see a decline in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this game.

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