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Simone Fontecchio

Simone Fontecchio Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Simone Fontecchio has made an impressive 39.7% of his three-point shots this season, a sizeable increase from his 30.7 mark last season.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team.

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

With the home court advantage, the Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Simone Fontecchio has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% more than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have shot 37.9% on 3-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.

Simone Fontecchio figures to see a decline in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this game.

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