Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 10.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Compared to last year's 30.7% clip, Simone Fontecchio's 3-point efficiency has jumped this year to 39.3%.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Pistons's feeble 112.9 points per game rates 8th-fewest in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 2.9 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a tough matchup.
With the home court advantage, the Pacers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Simone Fontecchio is expected to see a decline in output for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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