Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Simone Fontecchio lands in the 80th percentile for three-pointers hit, tallying 1.8 per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from home.
The Pistons will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-speediest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Lakers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 13thbest in in the NBA away from home with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Pistons check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team has come down with 11.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (continuing possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Simone Fontecchio will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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