Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 3:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-127/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Simone Fontecchio registers in the 88th percentile for 3-point ability with a a terrific 41.0% rate this year.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a good one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (19.5).
The fastest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Jazz.
The Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has collected 8.7 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Nets).
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Jazz's subpar 20.3 foul shot attempts per game as the road team ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
Simone Fontecchio should experience a decrease in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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