Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 3:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 11.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 3.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Simone Fontecchio has attempted 5.9 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Simone Fontecchio has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Utah Jazz's feeble 114.1 points per game settles in as the 10th-lowest in the league over the last 25 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 1.1 three-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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