Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 11:18 PM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Simone Fontecchio comes in at the 78th percentile for field goal effectiveness when playing away from home with a a great 51.7% rate this year.
Simone Fontecchio has successfully made 42.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, creating a favorable matchup.
The 7th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Celtics).
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics (lengthening possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.