Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 12:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 6.1 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Simone Fontecchio has averaged 28.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The matchup against Detroit is a strong one; when the Pistons are on their home court, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Jazz's subpar 106.9 points per game when playing on the road measures as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
Simone Fontecchio ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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