Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 30.7% rate, Simone Fontecchio's three-point proficiency has jumped this season to 42.7%.
Simone Fontecchio has tallied 24.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 8.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
Simone Fontecchio has been called for 1.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.3 three attempts per game (26th-most in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a good matchup.
The Jazz have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 18 games away from home.

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Jazz's subpar 106.0 points per game when playing at home measures as the worst in the NBA this year.
Away from their home court, the Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
Simone Fontecchio ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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