Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 3:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 22.1% rate, Simone Fontecchio's three-point prowess has jumped this year to 54.8%.
The matchup against Memphis is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Grizzlies are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.6).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league while at home with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.
With the home court advantage, the Grizzlies have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (7.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has been on the court for 14.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile -- ranking among the least-used players in the NBA.
Simone Fontecchio has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 0.0 technicals per game last year.
As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's poor 107.9 points per game comes in as the 7th-weakest in the NBA this year.
The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Simone Fontecchio will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.