Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 2:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has made a whopping 1.8 3-pointers per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.1 rate last season.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 15.1 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has totaled 5.3 points per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the league in this category: 16th percentile.
Simone Fontecchio has been on the court for 14.5 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 16th percentile -- some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league.
Simone Fontecchio has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have shot 39.6% on 3-pointers (highest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The Utah Jazz are expected to see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

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