Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has converted 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while at home.
Simone Fontecchio has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the league (18th percentile).
This matchup is a hard one for scoring; when the Thunder are the visiting team, opposing clubs have posted the 6th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (47.1%).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Jazz.

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted an enormous 25.7 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).

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