Simone Fontecchio Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has converted 2.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted overall this season.
Simone Fontecchio has accumulated 1.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Spurs is a hard one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 14th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (11.2).
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Utah Jazz have been poor at getting to the free throw line away from their home court: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 21.6 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. the Spurs may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the league).
Simone Fontecchio will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production across the board.