Simone Fontecchio Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 11:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-179/+137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -179.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has accumulated 1.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has posted 0.7 assists per game away from home this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- among the worst in the NBA by this metric.
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Simone Fontecchio will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production across the board.

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