Simone Fontecchio Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Simone Fontecchio

NBA · Player Props

Simone Fontecchio

F · Utah Jazz

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Simone Fontecchio Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+167/-222).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +171 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Simone Fontecchio has accumulated 0.9 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the NBA (10th percentile).
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Simone Fontecchio has put up 0.6 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 11th percentile.
Simone Fontecchio has averaged 10.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, riding the bench far more than most players in the league: 9th percentile.
The Utah Jazz have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Simone Fontecchio will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lowers stat production across the board.

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