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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Steals
Player Prop - 5/5/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+128/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 1.7 steals per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.5 minutes per game at home this year.

The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ought to see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder.

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