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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 4.7 defensive boards per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 34.2 minutes per game on his home court this year.

The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

The Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should boost opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this year at home.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stands to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.

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