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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2026

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, designating this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.
  • The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
  • The matchup against the Heat may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA on the road with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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