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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 6/22/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-275/+200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ +210 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ +200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 100th percentile, posting an enormous 32.0 points per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 5.5 three-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 3.6 mark last year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while playing at home this year.

The Thunder will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 more than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.

This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a difficult matchup.

With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Oklahoma City Thunder's feeble 21.3 free throw attempts per game when playing at home comes in as the 9th-worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Pacers may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).

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