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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 5/18/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has registered 32.1 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 33.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

In terms of offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 121.4 points per game comes in as the most in the league over the last 25 games.

The Thunder have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 100th percentile for free throws drained, tallying an enormous 7.8 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the NBA at home with only 10.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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