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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-105/-125).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has posted 32.1 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 33.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.In terms of scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's outstanding 121.8 points per game measures as the strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.The speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 100th percentile for free throws sunk, logging an enormous 7.8 per game this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.5 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup.The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Thunder.Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
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