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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 100th percentile, putting up a monstrous 32.3 points per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 7.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making this a hard matchup.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Thunder's feeble 20.7 foul shots per game rates 7th-worst in the league this year.

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