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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 32.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 86th percentile for three-point shots hit, averaging 2.1 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.2 minutes per game this year.

The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have notched 12.8 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive production.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Houston may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are on their home court (least in the league).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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