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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 32.7 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 100th percentile.

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 33.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

When it comes to shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 125.2 points per game measures as the most in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The 6th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Thunder.

The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Pacers is a hard one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pacers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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