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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has compiled 32.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 8.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The 5th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been poor at getting to the foul line: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.0 foul shots per game.

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