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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has totaled 32.6 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 100th percentile.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 48.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 9.2% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The 3rd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Denver Nuggets are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 19.9 foul shots per game.

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