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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+135/-185).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -185.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has compiled 32.3 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 100th percentile.Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.2 minutes per game this year.The matchup vs. the Nets is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.9).Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Thunder grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 8.9 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last year's 2.3 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's bricked 3-pointers have surged this year to 3.7 per game.The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.The Nets have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Thunder.With respect to drawing fouls, the Thunder's poor 19.8 free throw attempts per game ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
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