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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 2/21/2025

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has registered 32.2 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 46.5% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 8.9% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing on the road.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 8.7 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged 1.1 3-pointers per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, marking this as a hard matchup.

The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

The Jazz have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder's subpar 19.7 free throw attempts per game ranks 2nd-worst in the league this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

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