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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has logged 32.4 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.1 minutes per game this year.

The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves are at home, opposing starting SGs have tallied the least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.3).

The 8th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

As a team, the Thunder have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 19.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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