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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-140/+105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has compiled 30.7 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 100th percentile.Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.When it comes to scoring, the Thunder's fantastic 116.6 points per game settles in as the 8th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games.The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 100th percentile for foul shots hit, posting a whopping 6.8 per game this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (worst in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup.The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions today from facing the 3rd-slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).The Thunder have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
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