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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 99th percentile, averaging a monstrous 30.1 points per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 7.7 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

The Thunder rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

The Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Heat).

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production across the board.

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