Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 23.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The 5th-fastest tempo away team in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have notched 12.8 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Oklahoma City Thunder's lackluster 18.6 free throw attempts per game when playing away from home ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

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