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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 34.2 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots made from the field.

The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for field goals; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the 9th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (45.5%).

The 3rd-quickest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 30.1 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's points per game have dropped this season to 26.0.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made a lowly 26.6% of his 3-point attempts this year, significantly less than his 39.0 mark last year.

The Rockets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted a measly 6.3 foul shots per game this year, significantly less than his 8.6 rate last year.

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