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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (88th percentile).

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Pelicans).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

In contrast to last year's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws converted have tailed off this year to 7.5 per game.

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, struggling to get to the foul line.

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