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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 43.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 9.4% more than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court.Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.7 minutes per game on his home court this year.In regard to scoring, the Thunder's superb 124.0 points per game places 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the league) against the Pelicans, making this a positive matchup.The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game playing at home this year.The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk a lowly 7.6 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 9.8 rate last year.Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Pelicans, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
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