Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2024

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 3, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 5:41 PM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 4.8 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.4 minutes per game this year.
With respect to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 120.2 points per game settles in as the 4th-strongest in the league this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (88th percentile).
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Compared to last year's 9.8 mark, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots made have regressed this year to 7.5 per game.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces player production for all stats.

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