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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 56.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while playing away from home.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 34.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Toronto is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Toronto Raptors are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have tallied the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (88th percentile).

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk a mere 7.7 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 9.8 mark last season.

The matchup against the Toronto Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the league).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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