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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 55.5% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 14.1% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.

With respect to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

The matchup vs. Memphis may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Grizzlies are away from home (5th-most in the NBA).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ought to get a boost in effectiveness across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 4.3 shots made from the field per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, branding this as a challenging matchup.

The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Compared to last season's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws drained have fallen this season to 7.9 per game.

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