Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

NBA · Player Props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 2:47 AM EST

Analysis

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 69.2% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 26.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's stellar 124.6 points per game places 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 1.5 three-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Relative to last year's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws made have regressed this year to 7.9 per game.

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