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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has sunk 64.5% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 23.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a hard one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Rockets have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made a mere 8.0 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 9.8 rate last season.

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