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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-135/-105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted 63.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 22.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.5 minutes per game this year.With respect to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 128.2 points per game ranks highest in the league over the last 5 games.The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise opportunities for the Thunder.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on 3-pointers (15th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets, designating this as a difficult matchup.The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).The Houston Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made a mere 8.0 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 9.8 rate last year.
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