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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-114/-106).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 73.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 32.8% more than he's made overall this season.Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.7 minutes per game at home this year.The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games at home.The matchup vs. Washington is a good one; when the Wizards are on the road, they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (16.9).The Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.This year, their opposition has snagged 12.7 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Wizards (saving possessions that can create added chances for offense).Relative to last year's 9.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throws drained have diminished this year to 7.9 per game.
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